Danish Straits closed
Closure scenarios2.2 million barrels a day have no alternative route – the waters beyond this strait are cut off.
Simulate on the interactive map →
No way out
2.2 million
Goes the long way round
0
extra days at sea
–
Who is hit?
| Country | cut off | delayed | thousand b/d |
|---|---|---|---|
| India | 23% | – | 1,158 |
| Poland | 99% | – | 502 |
| Finland | 100% | – | 198 |
| Lithuania | 93% | – | 174 |
| Denmark | 97% | – | 103 |
| Sweden | 4% | – | 14 |
Exporters
- Russia24% cannot sell · 1,158
- Norway25% cannot sell · 429
- Saudi Arabia5% cannot sell · 331
- USA2% cannot sell · 84
- United Kingdom13% cannot sell · 66
- Guyana7% cannot sell · 41
- Denmark100% cannot sell · 28
How this is computed
Every trade route through this strait is re-routed on the MARNET shipping network with the strait removed. Where no sea route exists, the oil is stranded. Extra days assume 12 knots. Land bypasses (Saudi East-West pipeline to Yanbu; the Caspian–BTC route for Kazakh crude) are included up to their capacity. Prices, stocks and market reactions are not modelled.